Research note · October 2026

From Polisynth's first deployment: estimated injury crashes for 12,639 blocks in Jacksonville, ranked from highest to lowest.

Research note · October 2026

Estimated injury crashes per block in 2024, from the Polisynth model: 12,639 land blocks, ranked from highest to lowest.

  1. ReferenceAn equal share would put 5% of crashes on every 5% of blocks.
  2. EstimateRanked by the model's estimates, the share rises far faster.
  3. Top 5%The top 5% of blocks carry 44.6% of estimated injury crashes. The top 1% carry 15.7%.
  4. Top 10%The top 10% of blocks carry 62.6%. For a fixed safety budget, this shows where spending reaches the most crashes.
Source: Polisynth model, Jacksonville pilot. Estimated injury crashes per block, 2024.

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